The pickup field guide
The iPhone Duo return record · Japan
The observation record
- confirmed restocks since Nov 2
- 2,272
- Observation window
- →
The observation record
Which choices returned?
A configuration with more recorded returns is not necessarily easier to buy. Each row counts separate openings across stores, so repeat appearances can raise its total without increasing the number of places to collect it.
| Configuration | Restocks | Share | Last restock (local time) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 256GB Star White | 807 | 36% | Nov 7, 7:02 PM |
| 256GB Night Sky | 637 | 28% | Nov 7, 7:03 PM |
| 512GB Star White | 418 | 18% | Nov 7, 7:03 PM |
| 1TB Night Sky | 149 | 7% | Nov 7, 7:03 PM |
| 512GB Night Sky | 143 | 6% | Nov 7, 7:03 PM |
| 2TB Star White | 72 | 3% | Nov 7, 7:03 PM |
| 2TB Night Sky | 36 | 2% | Nov 7, 6:39 PM |
| 1TB Star White | 10 | <1% | Nov 7, 5:50 PM |
ShelfSpring field notes
24hWhere the pickup windows opened
Compare the breadth of recorded returns before choosing what to watch.
- Most recorded returns
- 256GB Star White
- 556 confirmed returns · 41% of recorded returns
- Configurations that returned
- 8 / 8
- Stores with a return
- 11 / 11
1,352 confirmed returns
One return is one store × configuration becoming available again. Frequent returns do not predict your chance of buying; an order is only confirmed by Apple.
Where the record is concentrated
These are the stores with the most observed returns in this sample. Store size, repeated openings and coverage all affect the ranking; use it to compare a reachable shortlist, not to predict the next phone.
| Store | Restocks | Days | Usually around | Last (local time) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple Nagoya Sakae (Nagoya, Japan) | 304 | 5 | 9 AM | Nov 7, 7:03 PM |
| Apple Marunouchi (Tokyo, Japan) | 291 | 5 | 2 PM | Nov 7, 6:59 PM |
| Apple Omotesando (Tokyo, Japan) | 271 | 5 | 8 AM | Nov 7, 7:03 PM |
| Apple Shibuya (Tokyo, Japan) | 239 | 5 | 7 AM | Nov 7, 6:34 PM |
| Apple Ginza (Tokyo, Japan) | 230 | 5 | 7 AM | Nov 7, 6:51 PM |
| Apple Umeda (Osaka, Japan) | 201 | 5 | 8 AM | Nov 7, 6:42 PM |
| Apple Kawasaki (Kawasaki, Japan) | 201 | 5 | noon | Nov 7, 7:03 PM |
| Apple Shinsaibashi (Osaka, Japan) | 195 | 5 | 8 AM | Nov 7, 7:03 PM |
| Prefecture | Restocks | Stores restocked | Last restock (local time) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tokyo | 1,222 | 5 of 5 | Nov 7, 7:03 PM |
| Osaka | 396 | 2 of 2 | Nov 7, 7:03 PM |
| Aichi | 304 | 1 of 1 | Nov 7, 7:03 PM |
| Kanagawa | 201 | 1 of 1 | Nov 7, 7:03 PM |
| Kyoto | 119 | 1 of 1 | Nov 7, 6:34 PM |
| Fukuoka | 30 | 1 of 1 | Nov 7, 11:00 AM |
The hour distribution, in store-local time
The largest observed hour was 8–9 AM, with 189 returns. This describes the sample only. A concentrated history is not an announced restock schedule.
| Local hour | Restocks | Share |
|---|---|---|
| midnight–1 AM | 63 | 3% |
| 1–2 AM | 32 | 1% |
| 2–3 AM | 46 | 2% |
| 3–4 AM | 55 | 2% |
| 4–5 AM | 38 | 2% |
| 5–6 AM | 35 | 2% |
| 6–7 AM | 31 | 1% |
| 7–8 AM | 122 | 5% |
| 8–9 AM | 189 | 8% |
| 9–10 AM | 149 | 7% |
| 10–11 AM | 131 | 6% |
| 11 AM–noon | 139 | 6% |
| noon–1 PM | 131 | 6% |
| 1–2 PM | 131 | 6% |
| 2–3 PM | 136 | 6% |
| 3–4 PM | 128 | 6% |
| 4–5 PM | 171 | 8% |
| 5–6 PM | 158 | 7% |
| 6–7 PM | 113 | 5% |
| 7–8 PM | 82 | 4% |
| 8–9 PM | 43 | 2% |
| 9–10 PM | 39 | 2% |
| 10–11 PM | 72 | 3% |
| 11 PM–midnight | 38 | 2% |
Daily observations and separately reported history
The date follows each store's local calendar. Third-party reports remain labelled in the source column and are excluded from the confirmed-observation totals above.
| Date | Restocks | Stores | Busiest hour | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Nov 7 · so far | 1,139 | 11 | 5–6 PM | ShelfSpring |
| Fri, Nov 6 | 795 | 11 | 4–5 PM | ShelfSpring |
| Thu, Nov 5 | 194 | 11 | 8–9 AM | ShelfSpring |
| Wed, Nov 4 | 63 | 11 | 7–8 AM | ShelfSpring |
| Tue, Nov 3 | 80 | 11 | 8–9 AM | ShelfSpring |
| Mon, Nov 2 | 1 | 1 | 8–9 PM | ShelfSpring |
How quickly did the observed windows close?
There are 2,272 completed return-to-sellout intervals in the timing sample. Half measured 14 seconds or less. Open listings are not included; observation intervals make these durations upper bounds, not an exact stopwatch.
The other iPhone Duo questions
Questions
What does this record cover in Japan?
The comparison covers 11 Apple Stores. Each availability observation belongs to an exact model, storage and color at a specific store. A total across locations does not mean the nearest store has your choice, and an unavailable data connection is not evidence of a sell-out.
How should I compare pickup options for iPhone Duo in Japan?
Set a realistic travel boundary first. Compare the exact configurations inside it and keep a second reachable store in your shortlist. Use the live store details for the current observation and the history only to understand what has happened before.
Does a recorded return mean a new shipment arrived in Japan?
No. A return means one store–configuration pair changed from unavailable to available in the recorded pickup observations. Cancellations or other stock changes can also reopen a listing. The record does not identify shipments or count physical phones.
What will an alert watch in Japan?
One alert watches one store and one exact configuration. A matching confirmed return can trigger delivery while your plan covers that rule. Source checks, synchronization and notification delivery add delay, so an alert is not a reservation or a promise that stock will remain available.